Rabu, 26 Desember 2012

[Y389.Ebook] Ebook Devenez la source de votre abondance. Manuel de prospérité

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Devenez la source de votre abondance. Manuel de prospérité

  • Original language: French
  • Dimensions: 5.31" h x .63" w x 8.07" l,
  • Binding: Paperback

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Senin, 24 Desember 2012

[X478.Ebook] Free Ebook Earth in Human Hands: Shaping Our Planet's Future, by David Grinspoon

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Earth in Human Hands: Shaping Our Planet's Future, by David Grinspoon

For the first time in Earth's history, our planet is experiencing a confluence of rapidly accelerating changes prompted by one species: humans. Climate change is only the most visible of the modifications we've made--up until this point, inadvertently--to the planet. And our current behavior threatens not only our own future but that of countless other creatures. By comparing Earth's story to those of other planets, astrobiologist David Grinspoon shows what a strange and novel development it is for a species to evolve to build machines, and ultimately, global societies with world-shaping influence. Without minimizing the challenges of the next century, Grinspoon suggests that our present moment is not only one of peril, but also great potential, especially when viewed from a 10,000-year perspective. Our species has surmounted the threat of extinction before, thanks to our innate ingenuity and ability to adapt, and there's every reason to believe we can do so again. Our challenge now is to awaken to our role as a force of planetary change, and to grow into this task. We must become graceful planetary engineers, conscious shapers of our environment and caretakers of Earth's biosphere. This is a perspective that begs us to ask not just what future do we want to avoid, but what do we seek to build? What kind of world do we want? Are humans the worst thing or the best thing to ever happen to our planet? Today we stand at a pivotal juncture, and the answer will depend on the choices we make.

  • Sales Rank: #7979 in Books
  • Brand: Grand Central Publishing
  • Published on: 2016-12-06
  • Released on: 2016-12-06
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.25" h x 1.63" w x 6.50" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 544 pages
Features
  • Grand Central Publishing

Review
"In his wonderful writing style, Dr. Grinspoon spells it out: A single species is inducing more profound changes to our planet than any other organism in geologic history. It's us. If you have family and friends here on Earth, read this book. The Earth is in our hands."―Bill Nye "The Science Guy", New York Times bestselling author of Unstoppable: Harnessing Science to Change the World

"Earth in Human Hands is a page-turning masterpiece of speculative nonfiction that will keep new and veteran science aficionados spellbound for hours at a time. It is quite simply the kind of book that can change a young reader's life, or inspire parents and teachers to do the same...Grinspoon ties together a dozen disparate themes pulled from a host of sub-fields seamlessly, making the book a delightful, flowing feast of science and commentary...Given Earth in the title, one might expect the book to revolve solely around our planet, the immediate concerns of humanity, or the growing anxiety voiced by environmentalists and a few scientists over our growing impact on this world. Grinspoon delivers all that with seeming ease. But he takes an epic, cosmic course to do so, one successfully charted by only a handful of visionaries before him. It's a journey that ranges from the planets Venus and Mars, where he deftly reviews the critical contributions NASA and other agencies have added to our understanding of our home by studying these alien worlds, to the farthest reaches of space and time revealed by modern astronomy....The only disappointment was when the last page was turned, and I found myself wishing there was more.If Carl Sagan were alive today, and had available to him all the science done since he left us, this is the book he would write....Earth in Human Hands is Cosmos for the 21st century, retooled for a new wave of readers, and hopped up on the best science modern research has to offer. ...Your copy of this masterpiece is destined to become a familiar friend, proudly dog-eared and creased with age, after being read and reread time after time, and year after year."―Daily Kos

"In flavorful prose, [Grinspoon] dives deep into the history of life on Earth (and beyond) and muses on ways that geoengineering, interplanetary colonization or contact with galactic civilizations could define this human-dominated epoch just as much as climate change, overpopulation and resource scarcity...What comes next? This hybrid of a meditative memoir, a scientific primer and a call to arms presents possible answers. "―Scientific American


"Grinspoon's writing is clear, informal and funny...like a pub conversation with a well-read, quick mind."―Nature

"Earth in Human Hands is a remarkable synthesis of natural history, planetary science, extinction histories, Earth's climate and the human effect on the world...If we do it right, the 21st century won't be the peak of human achievement, but rather our initial foray into a brilliant, uncertain but full-of-potential future."―Forbes

"Rarely is a science book profoundly informative, highly entertaining, and surprisingly filled with interesting tidbits as a memoir. Such is the case, however, from the new book Earth in Human Hands...This is a book that any thinking person will have been glad to read. One could hardly ask for more."―Astronomy Magazine

"With an erudite yet appealingly informal style that showcases his nimble mastery of this science, Grinspoon takes you on a deep-time tour...In our hyper-technical world, we need science communicators like Grinspoon (and Bill Nye and Neil deGrasse Tyson) who can translate their expertise into accessible explanations and interesting stories. All complex topics have interesting stories; it takes a particular talent to unlock them....This is one of the great strengths of "Earth in Human Hands": Grinspoon's ability to describe and explain momentous Earth and space events and discoveries, and then connect to their cultural and social influence; science as part of everyday life and our cultural history, not separate from it."―NPR Boston

"David Grinspoon has done it again: cracked open our universe with a scientific inquiry that is as inspiring and engaging as it is profound. Where others see inevitable catastrophe, Grinspoon sees historic opportunity. Grinspoon is a gifted storyteller and his narrative is the rare confluence of authoritative and thought-provoking science and rollicking fun. Earth in Human Hands is a must read for anyone interested in evolution, planetary science, the crisis of the environment, and human survival. Destined to be a classic."―Peter Heller, New York Times bestselling author of The Dog Stars and The Whale Warriors

"David Grinspoon's books are always high-spirited, insightful, elegantly-written, and full of fascinations, but EARTH IN HUMAN HANDS is especially so, because he focuses on our home planet and exciting/dangerous new age, criss-crossing the globe and traveling deep into the unknown reaches of space, where other lifeforms may be facing their own planetary challenges. I'm sure readers will love voyaging through the cosmos with him again, as I do."―Diane Ackerman, New York Times bestselling author of The Human Age: The World Shaped by Us and The Zookeeper's Wife: A War Story

"A beautiful and detailed overview of the ways we must change our thinking if we want to truly understand the transformation in our midst."―Adam Frank, NPR.com


"David Grinspoon is an entertaining and insightful writer, and he takes us through a delightful intellectual romp across the universe, through our solar system, witnessing Earth's evolution over geologic time. He gives us an astronomer's-eye view of our current global environmental crisis, helping us see our predicament through the lens of time and space, which gives us a far better perspective-- especially on issues like climate change. I strongly recommend this book to folks who are scientifically curious, and to those who want to hear a different take on our current environmental challenges. You won't be disappointed."―Jonathan Foley, Director, California Academy of Sciences

"In a moving, personal journey, Grinspoon takes the reader from molten, planetary origins, past current crises like climate change, toward a destiny that our children may yet forge, standing on our shoulders."―David Brin, New York Times bestselling author of Earth and Existence

"Now that climate scientists have established beyond a reasonable doubt that man-made greenhouse gases play a major role in global warming, it's becoming transparently obvious that we humans are effectively behind the wheel, driving earth toward its ultimate fate, for good or ill. In the face of this stark reality, one question becomes equally clear: How do we as a species steer the planet in the right direction to save ourselves and our fellow creatures? An astrobiologist by training, as well as a frequent advisor to NASA on space exploration, Grinspoon is well-placed to provide a unique set of answers to this inquiry. In a work that's less an orderly guidebook than a series of thoughtful and fascinating discussions, Grinspoon uses his knowledge of planetary ecosystems and geological change to speculate on humankind's potential earthly influence over thousands of years, pointing out that Homo sapiens has faced extinction before.
Although Grinspoon acknowledges the daunting challenges ahead, his message is ultimately an optimistic one, arguing that man's acute self-awareness and technological creativity will ultimately win out."―Booklist

"An optimistic and informative take on the future of Earth and humankind."―Publishers Weekly

"In his low-key, conversational language, Grinspoon asks provocative questions about modern science's unyielding rigidities; gives an informed, dispassionate consideration of the UFO phenomenon; and suggests that NASA might be a tad too preoccupied with Mars. Definitive proof that life on this planet is intelligent and funny."―Entertainment Weekly on Lonely Planets

"Grinspoon tackles E.T. in a style that will satisfy science nerds and English majors alike. Drawing on astronomy, biology, and pop culture, the NASA adviser validates the big bang theory, traces the human search for aliens, and suggests that extraterrestrial life, at least on a microbial level, is out there. Read closely: Illustrations such as the Cosmic Evolution chart that puts Hendrix at the peak of complex civilization offer some of the wittiest insights."―Wired Magazine on Lonely Planets

"In LONELY PLANETS David Grinspoon provides a masterful synthesis of the history, science, philosophy, and even theological implications of extraterrestrial life....His lively and engaging writing style is well-suited to the broad range of subjects encountered here...an entertaining and thought-provoking book."―Science Magazine on Lonely Planets

"With metaphor, analogy and clear, entertaining writing, Grinspoon carries us through eons of Earth history...terrific."―San Diego Union-Tribune on Lonely Planets

"In LONELY PLANETS, David Grinspoon brings together what has never before been synthesized: the history, science, culture, and politics of the search for life in the universe. Along the way, you will not escape his practical and often humorous observations of the quest; he is a planetary scientist as well as a dreamer, borne of the space age."―Neil deGrasse Tyson on Lonely Planets

"It is generally acknowledged that the bar was set by Carl Sagan in 1973 with the publication of The Cosmic Connection. Anathema though it may be to Sagan fans, and believe me, I'm one of you, that bar has now been surpassed by LONELY PLANETS ...Keen scholarship, witty observations, and thought-provoking banter from a working scientist who, like Sagan, can really write."―San Jose Mercury News on Lonely Planets

"LONELY PLANETS is a Lonely Planet guide to the universe, packed with useful information served up with a wry, amusing twist....He does it all in a breezy, engaging style unlike anything you'll find in most popular science books."―Dallas Morning News on Lonely Planets

"Like Sagan, [Grinspoon] brings a joyous, open, even boisterous enthusiasm - "billions and billions!" - to his writing. If you think a survey of "natural philosophical" history regarding the possibility of alien life might be dry, think again. There's something here for a wide audience, from scientists to dreamers to fans of UFOs....It's fascinating as pure information and made positively delightful by Grinspoon's willingness to be playful...LONELY PLANETS is one of the most fun books I've ever read."―Boulder Daily Camera on Lonely Planets

"Grinspoon handles the wide variety of material necessary for a coherent narrative with great aplomb...less a popularization than a personable chat on life, the universe and everything."―Publishers Weekly on Lonely Planets

"Astronomer and space advocate Grinspoon pulls lots of facts, hypotheses, and beliefs together in this entertaining consideration of the likelihood of encountering extraterrestrial life...Fun to read, Grinspoon comes across like a buddy in a bar, trying out ideas over a beer or few. He deserves a large readership."―Booklist on Lonely Planets

"An exuberant, provocative look at the possibility of extraterrestrial life, what it might be like, and what it might mean....Wisecracks, philosophical musings, and personal anecdotes make his text as lively as it is authoritative."―Kirkus (Starred Review) on Lonely Planets

About the Author
David Grinspoon is an astrobiologist, award-winning science communicator, and prize-winning author. In 2013 he was appointed the inaugural Chair of Astrobiology at the Library of Congress. He is a frequent advisor to NASA on space exploration strategy, and is on the team for the Curiosity Mars Rover. Grinspoon's writing has appeared in the New York Times, Slate, Scientific American, Seed, Boston Globe, and the Los Angeles Times.

Most helpful customer reviews

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
This is a “must read” for all who are concerned ...
By Norman K. Hester
This is a “must read” for all who are concerned with how human actions are compromising the ability of Earth to sustain its ability to serve mankind unless imminent action is initiated to ameliorate the effects of global warming. “Earth in Human Hands” serves as an essential complement to Al Gore’s “An Inconvenient Truth” published 10 years ago! The author speculates on the likelihood of life existing elsewhere in the universe and whether it is the destiny of mankind --- in some distant future --- to find suitable homes beyond Earth. The penultimate chapter deals with the current efforts of the SETI Program (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence). It was interesting to read the pros and cons on whether our ongoing search should be complemented by actively broadcasting to the universe that “we’re here.”

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
but I'm very glad that somebody does
By Bud Gundy
I've been a fan of Grinspoon since "Lonely Planets" and was excited to hear he'd published another book. I don't share Grinspoon's optimistic view of the human ability to adjust and make the changes we need to heal our world, but I'm very glad that somebody feels that way. This book gave me a new outlook on our future. It is well-written, always fascinating and I came away feeling I understand these issues with more clarity and insight. What more can you hope for? A very worthwhile read and at times utterly fascinating.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Cosmic consciousness is alive and well!
By Thomas E. Moore
A truly intelligent species will outlive its home planet. This book fully develops that theme, and recounts the author's personal journey of discovery and realization that we are now in charge of this planet. It is a fitting successor to the works of Carl Sagan, in this era of politicized climate science. It deals constructively with cynicism and pessimism, and shows us a better way to be realistic. This book should be accessible to younger readers with interests in space activities and planetary astronomy.

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Kamis, 20 Desember 2012

[G356.Ebook] Download Therapeutic Footwear: A Comprehensive Guide, 1e, by Wendy Tyrrell MEd MChS, Gwenda Carter MChS MSSF A&FE Tutor(C&G)

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Therapeutic Footwear: A Comprehensive Guide, 1e, by Wendy Tyrrell MEd  MChS, Gwenda Carter MChS  MSSF  A&FE Tutor(C&G)

THERAPEUTIC FOOTWEAR: A COMPREHENSIVE GUIDE gives authoritative and wide-ranging information to health professionals concerned with the prescribing and fitting of surgical and corrective footwear. Wendy Tyrrell and Gwenda Carter have combined their many years of teaching and clinical experience to produce a textbook that is accessible, clear and without doubt the most definitive account of the subject currently available. Broad in scope, the text ranges through patient assessment, suitability of styles, retail and bespoke footwear, orthoses, measuring and fitting, all from the relatively simple to the most complex of cases. There is no other available single resource that offers such complete support and guidance to practitioners who wish to prescribe, fit and assess the effectiveness of therapeutic footwear.

  • Sales Rank: #2678404 in Books
  • Published on: 2008-12-22
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.00" h x 7.50" w x 1.00" l, 1.80 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 352 pages

Review

"A single resource that offers complete support and guidance to professionals who wish to prescribe, fit and assess the effectiveness of therapeutic footwear. Podiatry Now, July 2009

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2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Board Certified Pedorthist
By John S Mishasek
Very comprehensive and well written textbook for the care of patients with arthritis. Particularly liked the content that reviewed why foot problems can actually be occurring earlier than hand problems that might be more visible to a non-foot specialist clinician. This book would be useful for podiatrists or pedorthists that need a clinical resource to share with rheumatologists or primary care physicians about how as foot care or footwear specialists they can help patients with arthritis improve the quality of their lives.

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Therapeutic Footwear: A Comprehensive Guide, 1e, by Wendy Tyrrell MEd MChS, Gwenda Carter MChS MSSF A&FE Tutor(C&G) PDF

Therapeutic Footwear: A Comprehensive Guide, 1e, by Wendy Tyrrell MEd MChS, Gwenda Carter MChS MSSF A&FE Tutor(C&G) PDF

Therapeutic Footwear: A Comprehensive Guide, 1e, by Wendy Tyrrell MEd MChS, Gwenda Carter MChS MSSF A&FE Tutor(C&G) PDF
Therapeutic Footwear: A Comprehensive Guide, 1e, by Wendy Tyrrell MEd MChS, Gwenda Carter MChS MSSF A&FE Tutor(C&G) PDF

Jumat, 14 Desember 2012

[X827.Ebook] Fee Download Truth or Truthiness: Distinguishing Fact from Fiction

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Truth or Truthiness: Distinguishing Fact from Fiction

Truth or Truthiness: Distinguishing Fact from Fiction



Truth or Truthiness: Distinguishing Fact from Fiction

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Truth or Truthiness: Distinguishing Fact from Fiction

Teacher tenure is a problem. Teacher tenure is a solution. Fracking is safe. Fracking causes earthquakes. Our kids are over-tested. Our kids are not tested enough. We read claims like these in the newspaper every day, often with no justification other than 'it feels right'. How can we figure out what is right? Escaping from the clutches of truthiness begins with one simple question: 'what is the evidence?' With his usual verve and flair, Howard Wainer shows how the sceptical mindset of a data scientist can expose truthiness, nonsense, and outright deception. Using the tools of causal inference he evaluates the evidence, or lack thereof, supporting claims in many fields, with special emphasis in education. This wise book is a must-read for anyone who has ever wanted to challenge the pronouncements of authority figures and a lucid and captivating narrative that entertains and educates at the same time.

  • Sales Rank: #34697 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-12-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.98" h x .67" w x 5.98" l, 1.13 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 232 pages

Review
"This book is like the proverbial bag of potato chips. It's impossible to stop reading after just one of its fun and thought-provoking examples of statistical reasoning."
Andrew Gelman, Columbia University

"Howard Wainer persuasively argues that you cannot be an informed citizen unless you understand the new data science. Using examples and anecdotes from education, medicine, and elsewhere, he arms readers with tools they can use to make better decisions and a better world. And he does it with the ease, charm, and brilliance of the originator of truthiness."
Arthur E. Wise, President Emeritus, National Council for the Accreditation of Teacher Education

"[This is] compelling reading on contemporary topics that exemplifies how to think clearly about the busy world around us ... Wainer gets more clever over the years, finding deeper anecdotes, discovering better quotes, and writing with more grace than ever."
Ben Shneiderman, University of Maryland

"Wainer has taken a leap forward with his new book, Truth or Truthiness. He has shown that he can take on complex issues using the basic premise that our new societal norm addresses policy solely through inference while lacking supportive evidence. With his usual interesting and direct style, Wainer looks at this lack of data support in examining societal issues, especially education. This is truly a compelling read and I think should be required reading for those who set educational policy."
Kurt Landgraf, President and CEO, Educational Testing Service, 2000-2013

"Howard Wainer was an expert witness in cases where I defended public school teachers who were accused of changing students' answers on standardized tests. I implored him to explain his theories in terms that would be understandable to lay people. Truth and Truthiness makes clear that he took this to heart."
Keith J. Zimmerman, Kahn, Smith and Collins, P. A., Baltimore

About the Author
Howard Wainer is a Distinguished Research Scientist at the National Board of Medical Examiners. He has published more than four hundred articles and chapters in scholarly journals and books.

Most helpful customer reviews

13 of 13 people found the following review helpful.
Exploding ignorance
By David Wineberg
So much of what we know is just wrong. From internet facts to everybody knows that, we make things up and believe them, with nothing backing them but the knowledge that we all agree we knew that. And yet, by shifting slightly, Howard Wainer says we can outsleuth Sherlock Holmes.

Wainer demonstrates it in a remarkable lawsuit where he was called into aid a “professional license” exam taker who was falsely accused of cheating. Wainer showed the evaluation system, which looked terrific at first blush, was actually terribly inaccurate and unjustifiable. Wainer compares it to mammography, a parallel system that shows the same misguidance. In mammography, false positives rule. In breast cancer cases, only five percent of positive mammographies represent actual cancer. He shows this from mammography’s own impressive (at first) numbers. Testing for cheaters – no better. Ruining someone’s career over such lousy methods – unacceptable. Who said statisticians couldn’t be cool?

Wainer shows convincingly that fracking does cause earthquakes, that tenure in education is actually cheaper than hiring annually, that global numbers predict the breaking of sports records, and that the whole field of education is rife with truthiness based on gut feeling (and outright criminally rigging results).

He says there are three reasons why people won’t listen to the facts:
-A lack of understanding of the methods and the power of the Science of Uncertainty
-A conflict between what is true what is wished to be true
-An excessive dimness of mind that prevents connecting the dots of evidence to yield a clear picture of likely outcome.

The purpose – and value - of Truth and Truthiness is in its applicability. Wainer’s approach achieves results without computer power or advanced mathematics. The conclusions are self-evident if we follow the data. Just thinking this way – in the manner of data specialists – means better decisions for all of us. And so he rightly calls the concluding chapter Do Try This At Home.

Just don’t pick an argument with this man.

David Wineberg

6 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
Statistics made entertaining? Yes, it’s possible. Let’s test it.
By Steve G
I loved this book. It’s not so much about statistics as about testing vs guessing. Author Howard Wainer writes in a conversational manner and with a keen sense of humor. The book was hard to put down. As I was reading the book I noted that a little over two chapters were missing from the advanced reader copy I had received. My first thought was too bad because I loved the book so far. My second thought was that when I write my review can I assume that the missing pages were as good as the pages that were there? I thought this because Wainer goes into a lot of detail about missing data. My third thought was that Wainer had already taught me to think like a data scientist. I strongly recommend this book for anyone who is involved in research.
As a postscript, I received the full book from the publisher and as suspected, the missing pages are as good as the rest of the book.

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
A book by a real statistician for the rest of us
By Leland Wilkinson
There are plenty of books on statistics for the popular market. Many of them try to make statistics exciting but end up being boring or, worse, full of misinformation. Howard Wainer is in that handful of writers (Daniel Kahneman, Jordan Ellenberg, Andrew Gelman, ...) who know what they are talking about and are able to explain it to the rest of us in ordinary language. This book dares to spend a chapter on Donald Rubin's breakthrough on the intricacies of causal inference, on Hartigan's Inside Out Plots, and on how statisticians deal with missing data. If you want to learn how a statistician thinks (forget formulas), then this is your book.

See all 7 customer reviews...

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